1-Octene Demand Analysis, By Types, By Applications [Polyethylene (HDPE & LLDPE), Plastomers, Linear Alcohols (PVC, Plasticizers & Surfactants), Lubricants, Others] & Forecast Analysis, 2032

1-octene Market Overview

The global Octene-1 Market Size is projected to grow from USD 1.2 Billion in 2023 to USD 1.4 Billion by 2032, registering a CAGR of 2.6%. The rising demand for Octene-1 from applications such as polyethylene, plastomers, linear alcohols and lubricants will further drive the adhesive tape demand in the forecast period. Octene-1 or 1-octene is a higher olefin or alpha olefin with double bond located at alpha position. 

Octene-1 Production Process

Commercially, octene-1 is produced by the oligomerization of ethylene or by the Fisher-Tropsch process. Some of the well-known oligomerization technologies used are Ethyl Corporation Process by INEOS, the SHOP process by Shell Oil Company, Gulf process by Chevron-Phillips Chemical Company, the Sablin process by Sabic-Linde and Idemitsu Petrochemical process by Idemitsu.

The SHOP process is a very common method used to produce octene-1 from the oligomerization of ethylene. In this process, purified ethylene is passed into an oligomerization reactor where ethylene molecules combine to form higher olefins like octene-1 in presence of titanium chloride (metal halide compound) as a catalyst and organoaluminium compound as cocatalyst. Reaction conditions are typically maintained at temperatures and pressure to facilitate the formation of octene-1 as desired product. Heptane or sometime hexane is used as inert solvent during reaction to control reaction rate by removal of heat. The reaction mixture consisting of octene-1 and other oligomers are distilled in fractional distillation column to get separate isolated fraction of octene-1 and other oligomers. Distilled octene-1 is further purified to remove moisture and residual impurities to meet specific properties of product. In other processes like Fisher-Tropsch process, fuels are made from synthesis gas derived from coal or methane. The initial fuel stream from FT reactor is sent to narrow distillation where the cut of linear alpha olefins is as high as 60%. 

Octene-1 Market Capacity Overview

The global octene-1 capacity is estimated to around 1,000 kilo tons in 2023 and forecast to reach more than 1300 kilo tons by 2032. North America accounts for largest capacity share with presence of major players such as CPChem, INEOS and Shell. Majority of octene-1 capacity is in the USA. While one plant is in Canada, owned and operated INEOS Oligomers. 

Middle East & Africa follows North America in terms of capacity of octene-1 and is second largest producer. Saudi, Qatar and South Africa are prominent octene-1 producing countries in the region and are estimated to have a total capacity of 314 Kiloton. Sasol is in South Africa and has two large on purpose plant for octene-1 production with total nameplate capacity of 196 Kiloton

Apart from North America and Middle East & Africa, Western Europe also accounts for significant capacity with plant located in Belgium and Spain. INEOS Oligomers and DOW produced octene-1 in Belgium and Spain respectively. 

Other regions such as Asia, Pacific, Central & Eastern Europe and others have small capacities and very small capacity share in global octene-1 market. 

Global Octene-1 Demand Analysis, By Application,  2032 (KiloTon)

Octene-1 Market By Application
Source: Secondary & Primary Research and Prismane Consulting estimates

Octene-1 Market Application Overview 

Octene -1 finds its application as comonomer in polyethylene, plastomers, linear alcohols and lubricants and others. Polyethylene is largest application of octene-1 and accounts for almost 80% of global octene-1 market. Usually 2-20% or even more by weight of octene-1 is added in octene-ethylene copolymer giving it a desirable properties of long shelf life, good tear resistance and long shelf life. Octene-ethylene copolymer is commonly used in elastic fiber, blood bags, packaging, catheters, thermal insulation, automotive trim, sporting goods and floatation. Extrusion of octene-1 material into tubing and profiles is quite easy due to excellent flexibility, low modulus, clarity and low specific gravity. The second major application of octene-1 is in manufacturing elastomers. Addition of octene-1 along with ethylene into polypropylene creates an elastomer with high impact resistance at low tensile strength, temperature and elongation. Other applications like linear alcohols and lubricants account for small share in global octene-1 market. Octene 1 undergoes hydroformylation to form produce linear aldehyde nonanal which further goes under oxidation giving us short chain fatty acid nonanoic acid. The esters of these fatty acids are used as precursors in preparation of lubricants. On other hand hydrogenation of nonanal gives the 1-nonanol fatty alcohol which finds its application in plasticizer. In past decade the increasing demand for polyethylene has driven the global octene-1 market and is further anticipated to drive the market and remain the dominating application in octene-1 market.

Global Octene-1 Demand Analysis, By Region 2032 (Kiloton)

Octene-1 Market, By region
Source: Secondary & Primary Research and Prismane Consulting estimates

Octene-1 Demand Overview

Most octene-1 is captively consumed for production of polyethylene. With huge supply capability for octene-1 in North America, the region acquires largest demand in global octene-1 market. North America has huge developed markets and a huge demand of polyethylene in Packaging industry. USA is the largest market for octene-1 in the region and has huge base of polyethylene production as well as huge appetite for consumption of Polyethylene. 

Per capita plastic consumption in USA is over 150 kilograms per year which is quite high compared to global average.

Following North America, Western Europe takes the lead in demand, particularly in the significant octene-1 sector, commanding a market share of over 20%. Subsequently, Asia Pacific follows Western Europe in the Octene-1 market. Emerging economies like India, China and ASEAN countries are anticipated to drive the regional octene-1 demand. On back of increase in consumption of Octene-1 in end use industries such as automotive, consumer goods, electrical & electronic and construction in developing countries is further estimated to drive the global Octene-1 market during the forecast period. 

Octene-1 Market Dynamics

The global average plastic consumption to be more than 50 kilo grams/per capita/year, thus signifying the demand for plastic in day today’s use. Polyethylene is one the largest used polymers in the world and is one of the vital materials used in the plastic packaging industry. Hence steady growth of the polyethylene market is anticipated to drive the octene-1 market during forecast period.

However, fluctuating raw material prices and substitution by other linear alpha olefins will act as restrain in development of global octene-1 market.

Key Players in Octene-1 Market

Major manufacturers and suppliers for octene-1 are Shell Oil Company, ExxonMobil, Sasol Limited, INEOS, Sabic, Chevron Phillips Chemicals, Silver Fern Chemical Inc, Evonik, Dow Chemical Company, CDH Fine Chemicals and LG Chemicals. 

Scope of Report 

The Octene-1 report describes the global Octene-1 market, with focus on the country, applications and other end-use scenarios. The study provides

Market Data & Forecast (Short-term and Long-term)
•  Demand Analysis
•  Demand Composition, by Application
•  Capacity 
•  Sales & Revenue
•  Pricing Analysis
•  Market Dynamics

Country Summaries & Product Review
•  Demand Balance 
•  Octene-1 Market data in terms of volume and value for each end-use  at regional and country level
•  Historical, Current & Market Forecast
•  Macro-economic factors like GDP, Population and World Economic integration
•  Economic & Energy Outlook
•  Industry & Policy Developments 
•  End-use Industry / Applications Market 
•  Reasoning & Analysis
•  Insightful Commentary
•  Market Review
•  Comparative Analysis
•  Latest Trends and market developments
•  Key players
•  Strategic Issues and Recommendations
•  Business Opportunity Assessment

1.  Introduction
      •  Scope
      •  Market Coverage
          -  Application
          -  Regions
          -  Countries
      •  Years Considered
          -  Historical - 2016 – 2021
          -  Base - 2022
          -  Forecast Period - 2023 – 2032
      •  Research Methodology
          -  Approach
          -  Research Methodology
          -  Assumptions & Limitations
          -  Abbreviations & Definitions
          -  Conversion Factors
          -  Data Sources
2.  Market Synopsis 
      •  Market Evolution
      •  Demand Overview
      •  Industry Structure
      •  Strategic Issues
      •  End-use Trends
      •  Growth Forecast
3.  Economic & Energy Outlook
      •  GDP and Demographics
      •  Monetary & Fiscal Policies
      •  Crude Oil Production and prices
      •  Natural Gas
      •  Electricity Prices
4.  End-use Sector Performance
      • Packaging
      • Automotive
      • Construction
      • Electrical & Electronics
      • Consumer Appliances
      • Others
5.  Plants & Projects Analysis
      •  Octene-1 Production Capacity, by Company
      •  Capacity Overview
6.  Introduction to Octene-1 and Market Overview 
      •  Product Description
      •  Grades & Properties
      •  Raw Material
      •  Manufacturing Process
      •  Environmental Issues
      •  Value Chain
      •  Applications
7.  Market Dynamics and Industry Trends 
      •  Market Dynamics and COVID-19 Impact
          -  Drivers
          -  Restraints
          -  Opportunities
          -  Challenges
8.  Global Octene-1 Demand Analysis, By Application, (Volume, Value) (2016–2032)
      •  Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
      •  Demand Analysis and Forecast (2016 – 2032)
          -  Demand
          -  Demand Growth Rate (%)
          -  Driving Force Analysis
      •  Global Octene-1 Market, By Application
          Polyethylene (HDPE & LLDPE)
          Plastomers
          Linear Alcohols (PVC, Plasticizers & Surfactants)
          Lubricants
          Others
9.  Demand Analysis and Market Review, By Region, By Country (Volume, Value), (2016– 2032)
      •  Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
      •  Demand Analysis and Forecast (2016-2032)
      •  Demand Growth Rate (%)
      •  Octene-1 Market, By Application
Note: Demand Analysis has been provided for all major Regions / Countries as mentioned below. The demand(consumption) split by applications has been provided for each of the countries/regions in Volume (Kilotons) and Value (USD Million).
      •  North America
         -  USA
         -  Canada
         -  Mexico
      •  Western Europe
         -  Germany
         -  France
         -  Italy
         -  United Kingdom
         -  Spain
         -  Rest of Western Europe
      •  Central & Eastern Europe
         -  Russia
         -  Poland
         -  Rest of Central & Eastern Europe
      •  Asia-Pacific
         -  China
         -  Japan
         -  India
         -  South Korea
         -  ASEAN
         -  Rest of Asia-Pacific
      •  Central & South America
      •  Middle East & Africa
Note: CAGR will be calculated for all the applications to arrive at the regional/global demand growth for the forecast period (2022 – 2032)
10.  Pricing Analysis
11.  Key Strategic Issues and Business Opportunity Assessment 
      •  Market Attractiveness Assessment
      •  Prospective & Target Market Study
12.  Strategic Recommendation & Suggestions
13.  Company Analysis and Market Share Analysis
         -  Basic Details
         -  Headquarter, Key Markets
         -  Ownership
         -  Company Financial
         -  Manufacturing Bases
         -  Global Turnover
         -  Total Employee
         -  Product Portfolio / Services / Solutions
         -  Recent Developments
         -  Companies Covered
             - Shell Chemicals
             - Exxon Mobil Corporation
             - Evonik Industries
             - LG Chemicals
             - Sasol Limited
             - Dow Chemical Company
             - Silver Fern Chemical Inc.
             - CDH Fine Chemicals
             - Other Manufacturers
Note: This section includes company information, company financials, manufacturing bases, and operating regions. Company financials have been mentioned only for those companies where financials were available in SEC Filings, annual reports, or company websites. All the reported financials in this report are in U.S. Dollars. Financials reported in other currencies have been converted using average currency conversion rates. Company profiles may include manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors.
14.  Appendices
      •  Demand- Regions
      •  Demand– Countries

Scope of Report 

The Octene-1 report describes the global Octene-1 market, with focus on the country, applications and other end-use scenarios. The study provides

Market Data & Forecast (Short-term and Long-term)
•  Demand Analysis
•  Demand Composition, by Application
•  Capacity 
•  Sales & Revenue
•  Pricing Analysis
•  Market Dynamics

Country Summaries & Product Review
•  Demand Balance 
•  Octene-1 Market data in terms of volume and value for each end-use  at regional and country level
•  Historical, Current & Market Forecast
•  Macro-economic factors like GDP, Population and World Economic integration
•  Economic & Energy Outlook
•  Industry & Policy Developments 
•  End-use Industry / Applications Market 
•  Reasoning & Analysis
•  Insightful Commentary
•  Market Review
•  Comparative Analysis
•  Latest Trends and market developments
•  Key players
•  Strategic Issues and Recommendations
•  Business Opportunity Assessment


Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market size of Octene-1?
The global Octene-1 Market Size is projected to grow from USD 1.2 Billion in 2022 to USD 1.4 Billion by 2032, registering a CAGR of 2.6%
What are the primary factors driving the growth of the Octene-1 market?
The rising demand for Octene-1 from applications such as polyethylene, plastomers, linear alcohols and lubricants will further drive the adhesive tape demand in the forecast period.
Who are some of the major Octene-1 producers?
Major manufacturers and suppliers for octene-1 are Shell Oil Company, ExxonMobil, Sasol Limited, INEOS, Sabic, Chevron Phillips Chemicals, Silver Fern Chemical Inc, Evonik, Dow Chemical Company, CDH Fine Chemicals and LG Chemicals.
What is the current global production capacity of Octene-1?
The global octene-1 capacity is estimated to around 1,000 kilo tons in 202 3and forecast to reach more than 1300 kilo tons by 2032